21M11 电商大促带动线上表现优于线下,线下零售持续环比改善。 21M11 线上销额/销量分别同比下滑14.81%/下滑28.55%,今年整体大盘线上表现不及去年,内销受多地疫情反复、地产数据偏弱等原因复苏缓慢;在原材料价格上涨压力下,家电企业持续推出高端化、智能化系列产品,加速推动多品类下的套系化整合与成套化推广,双十一销额受价格驱动较为明显。线下零售持续环比改善,21M11 线下全品类销额/销量分别环比增长4.25%/增长0.17%,连续三月环比正增长。 大家电:大家电增速普遍承压,干衣机品类表现较好。21M11 空调/冰箱/洗衣机/ 彩电/ 干衣机线下渠道零售额分别同比-21.43%/-9.09%/-14.46%/-13.92%/52.01% , 均价分别同比上涨13.22%/20.52%/17.96%/27.42%/7.55%; 线上渠道零售额分别同比变化-12.62%/+4.59%/-8.66%/-0.23%/95.5% , 均价分别同比变化+3.09%/+7.14%/+1.89%/+8.37%/26.97%,干衣机均价提升明显。从市占率角度来看, 空调品类, 21M11 美的/ 格力/ 海尔线下市占分别为38.44%/35.07%/12.29%,同比+2.04pct/-3.45pct/+1.28pct;美的/格力/海尔线上市占分别为29.18%/32.39%/10.46%,同比-0.29pct/-0.31pct/-0.55pct。 厨电:传统厨电品类增速承压,集成灶、洗碗机表现较好。21M11 油烟机/燃气灶/集成灶/燃气热水器/洗碗机线下渠道零售额分别同比变化-20.75%/-14.84%/+30.98%/-19.72%/+1.35% , 均价分别同比上涨8.84%/8.79%/14.34%/6.95%/8.47% ; 线上渠道零售额分别同比变化-12.25%/-8.50%/+42.3%/-0.03%/+4.69% , 均价分别同比变化+9.36%/+15.69%/+21.78%/+8.42%/+15.27%。从市占率来看,亿田/火星人/美大线下市占分别为12.60%/ 23.27%/13.84%,同比+9.68pct/+1.69pct/ -4.92pct,亿田增速同比增速最快。线上市占分别为24.07%/9.88%/10.34% , 同比-0.50pct/+3.47pct/+2.63pct。 小家电:传统小家电增速承压,清洁电器、扫地机表现较好。21M11 电饭煲/破壁机/料理机/清洁电器/扫地机器人线下渠道零售额分别同比变化-20.07%/-41.68%/-41.36%/-21.3%/-11.73% , 均价分别同比变化+12.50%/+1.94%/-0.73%/15.42%/68.53%; 线上渠道零售额分别同比变化-19.78%/-41.6%/-40.33%/+27.1%/35.06% , 均价分别同比变化+10.00%/+0.63%/+2.18%/+36.87%/+64.33%。扫地机品类中,21M11 科沃斯/美的/莱克线下市占分别为92.42%/3.43%/0.26%,同比+4.37pct/+0.02pct/-1.07pct;科沃斯/云鲸/石头线上市占分别为47.59%/19.85%/16.60%,同比+1.80pct/+5.38pct/+5.20pct,科沃斯份额继续扩大,云鲸较上月市场份额环比上升18.57%。 投资建议 线下零售环比有所改善,线上零售表现总体优于线下,其中大白电整体表现偏弱,厨电中集成灶保持高增速,小家电中扫地机器人同样。看好高端化厨电和新品类小家电的未来市场空间,产品渗透率有望继续提升,向好发展。建议关注:海尔智家、美的集团、科沃斯、石头科技、火星人、亿田智能、老板电器。 风险提示 1)疫情影响宏观经济未达预期;2)海外疫情二次冲击或将影响家电出口;3)家电行业价格战加剧;4)地产表现低迷;5)原材料价格上涨风险等要点 。 (文章来源:中银国际证券) 文章来源:中银国际证券汉河电缆 http://www.haomai-cable.com/ ![]() |
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